The UCLA Bruins (1-3) will face a ranked opponent for the third week in a row when they hit the road to play the No. 7 Penn State Nittany Lions (4-0) on Saturday afternoon. UCLA has lost three straight games by at least 17 points, including a 34-13 setback against then-No. 8 Oregon last week. Penn State is wrapping up a four-game homestand after beating then-No. 19 Illinois in a 21-7 final. This is the first meeting between these storied programs since 1968.
Kickoff is set for noon ET at Beaver Stadium. The Nittany Lions are 28.5-point favorites, per SportsLine consensus, in the latest Penn State vs. UCLA odds. The over/under for total points is 46.5. Before entering any UCLA vs. Penn State picks, you’ll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also went a sizzling 6-0 on all top-rated college football picks in Week 5. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.
The model has set its sights on UCLA vs. Penn State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the spread, money line and over/under on the game:
- Penn State vs. UCLA spread: Penn State -28.5
- Penn State vs. UCLA over/under: 46.5 points
- Penn State vs. UCLA money line: Penn State -9091, UCLA +2071
- Penn State vs. UCLA picks: See picks here
- Penn State vs. UCLA streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why Penn State can cover
Penn State continues to dominate weaker opponents in this type of game, covering the spread in 12 of its last 18 games. The Nittany Lions are 11-1 straight up in their last 12 home games after wearing down then-No. 19 Illinois in a 21-7 win last week. They gave up an early touchdown in that contest, but they closed the game by scoring 21 consecutive points.
Their defense allowed just 219 yards of total offense, as their run defense improved to seventh nationally after the Illini finished with 34 rushing yards. UCLA has struggled to run the ball this season, ranking near the bottom of all FBS offenses with 57 rushing yards per game. The Bruins are not going to be able to control the pace of Saturday’s game, which will allow Penn State to expand its lead throughout the afternoon. See which team to pick here.
Why UCLA can cover
UCLA has gained experience playing against elite teams, as its last two games have been against then-No. 16 LSU and then-No. 8 Oregon. The Bruins covered the 21.5-point spread in their loss to LSU and they covered as 24-point underdogs against Oregon. Penn State is coming off a win over a ranked Illinois team and has a matchup against No. 11 USC looming, making this a trap game on the schedule.
Senior quarterback Ethan Garbers has 808 passing yards and three touchdowns, going over 280 yards against LSU. Junior running back T.J. Harden is coming off his best performance of the season, finishing with 53 yards against Oregon. Penn State has only covered the spread twice in its last six Saturday games. See which team to pick here.
How to make Penn State vs. UCLA picks
The model has simulated UCLA vs. Penn State 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it also says one side of the spread is the better value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Penn State vs. UCLA, and which side of the spread is the better value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the UCLA vs. Penn State spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that’s up well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.
