Week 1 of any NFL schedule often has the closest spreads because even oddsmakers don’t know what to expect from each team. The Jaguars open the 2024 NFL season as 3.5-point underdogs against the Miami Dolphins, so you may not want to include them in Week 1 NFL survivor pool picks, but what version of Jacksonville can you expect this season? What is the best way to create a Week 1 NFL survivor strategy with so many unknowns? Three teams went undefeated in the preseason last year (Steelers, Jaguars and Commanders), and the Jaguars and Commanders won their season-openers. Should you put additional stock behind undefeated preseason teams when making your Week 1 NFL survivor pick? Before finalizing any Week 1 NFL survivor picks, see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 35-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 1 NFL odds and locked in its Week 1 survivor pool pick. You can only see who the model is backing this week at SportsLine.
Top Week 1 NFL survivor pool predictions
In Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season, the model is shying away from the Miami Dolphins, even though they’re coming off an 11-6 season and are favored over a Jaguars team that went 9-8 and missed the playoffs. The Jaguars started hot last season, winning six of their first eight games. It was the finish that was less than ideal. Christian Kirk isn’t the flashiest name in the NFL, but it’s clear he has a winning impact on the Jaguars. He started and finished each of those first eight games before the Jaguars finished 3-6 following his injury. Kirk is battling a calf injury at practice, but there’s still time for him to be healthy for Week 1.
The Dolphins have an over/under win total of 9.5 this season, so there will be future opportunities with better matchups to play them. The fact they play the New England Patriots twice would signal a much stronger matchup to utilize Miami later this season. The Jaguars’ win total over/under is 8.5 this season, making this too risky of a play for Week 1 survivor pool picks. See which team to pick here.
How to make Week 1 NFL survivor pool picks
Instead, the model is backing a surprising home team that wins outright in almost 80% of simulations. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the play over at SportsLine.
Which surprising team is a must-back in your Week 1 survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 1, all from the advanced computer model that consistently crushes the NFL and is up well over $7,000 since its inception.
