Chiefs vs. Eagles odds, line, spread: Monday Night Football picks, predictions from NFL model on 174-125 roll

The Philadelphia Eagles will be out for revenge on Monday Night Football in NFL Week 11 when they visit the Kansas City Chiefs for a Super Bowl rematch. The Chiefs rallied for a 38-35 victory in February’s big game for their second title under former Eagles coach Andy Reid. Now, both teams come in off bye weeks with the best records in their respective conferences. The Chiefs (7-2) lead the AFC West, while the Eagles (8-1) sit atop the NFC East entering NFL Week 11. Kansas City beat Miami, 21-17, in Week 9, while Philadelphia held off rival Dallas, 28-23. 

Monday’s kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. The SportsLine consensus lists the Chiefs as 2.5-point favorites in its latest Chiefs vs. Eagles odds, and the over/under for total points is 45.5. Before you make any Eagles vs. Chiefs picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 174-125 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 28-17 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has simulated Eagles vs. Chiefs 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Chiefs vs. Eagles:

  • Chiefs vs. Eagles spread: Kansas City -2.5
  • Chiefs vs. Eagles over/under: 45.5 points
  • Chiefs vs. Eagles money line: Philadelphia +122, Kansas City -145
  • PHI: Eagles are 15-17 ATS as underdogs since the 2018 season
  • KC: Chiefs are 15-11-2 ATS in non-conference games since 2018
  • Chiefs vs. Eagles picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Chiefs vs. Eagles live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why the Chiefs can cover

The Eagles are 3-7-1 against the spread in their past 11 games following their week off and Reid’s record coming off bye weeks is unquestioned. In fact, the coach is 31-6 straight-up in his career after byes. Kansas City’s defense has stepped up with the Patrick Mahomes-led offense seeing some inconsistency. The Chiefs allow 15.9 points (third in NFL) and 288 yards (fourth) and have 31 sacks (third).

The Eagles rank 28th in the NFL against the pass. They yield 257 passing yards per game, and Kansas City is fifth in passing offense (265). Mahomes was held to 182 yards in the Super Bowl, but threw three touchdown passes. The reigning league MVP is sixth in the NFL with 2,442 passing yards and has rushed for 258. Kelce has 57 catches for 597 yards, both second among tight ends. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why the Eagles can cover

Philadelphia is 5-2-2 against the spread, second-best in the NFL, and is 3-0-1 ATS in its past four primetime games. The Chiefs are 1-5 ATS in their past six prime-time matchups and 2-7 ATS in their past nine such games at home. The Eagles seemed in control of the Super Bowl before Kansas City’s rally. They outgained the Chiefs 417-340 and held Patrick Mahomes to 182 passing yards. Philadelphia averages 28 points (third in NFL) and 377 yards (fifth) this season.

Quarterback Jalen Hurts has thrown for 2,347 yards and rushed for 316, accounting for 22 touchdowns. He threw for 304 and ran for 70, with one TD pass and three on the ground in the Super Bowl. DeVonta Smith and A.J. Brown, second in the NFL with 1,005 receiving yards in 2023, combined for 13 catches for 196 yards in the big game. The Eagles defense has the most sacks since the start of last season (100) and allows an NFL-low 66 rushing yards per game. See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make Eagles vs. Chiefs picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over the total, projecting 47 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only see the model’s NFL picks and analysis at SportsLine. 

So who wins Eagles vs. Chiefs on Monday Night Football, and which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Eagles vs. Chiefs spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.

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