Ball State vs. Miami (OH) prediction, MACtion odds: 2024 Week 11 college football picks from proven model



The Miami (OH) RedHawks will look for their fifth consecutive win over the Ball State Cardinals when they meet during Tuesday night MACtion. Miami won last year’s meeting at Ball State 17-15. The RedHawks (4-4, 3-1 MAC), who are tied with Ohio and Bowling Green for second in the conference, have won four of their last five games, including three in a row. The Cardinals (3-5, 2-2 MAC), who are seventh in the league, have won two of their last three games.

Kickoff from Scheumann Stadium in Muncie, Ind., is set for 8 p.m. ET. Miami is averaging 22.8 points per game, while Ball State averages 25.1. The RedHawks are favored by 11.5 points in the latest Miami vs. Ball State odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 48. Before making any Ball State vs. Miami picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it is a sizzling 18-9 on all top-rated picks over the past six weeks of this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.

The model has set its sights on Miami vs. Ball State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines and trends for Ball State vs. Miami

  • Miami vs. Ball State spread: Miami -11.5
  • Miami vs. Ball State over/under: 48 points
  • Miami vs. Ball State money line: Miami -467, Ball State +347
  • MIA: The RedHawks have hit the Under in nine of their last 13 games (+4.60 units)  
  • BALL: The Cardinals are 5-3 ATS this season
  • Miami vs. Ball State picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Miami vs. Ball State streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why you should back Miami (OH)

The RedHawks have a solid receiving corps, led by senior wide receiver Cade McDonald. He leads the team in receptions with 38 for 507 yards (13.3 average) and two touchdowns. In a 30-20 win over Ohio on Oct. 19, he caught five passes for 84 yards and one score. He had eight receptions for 135 yards (16.9 average) and one touchdown in a 27-16 loss vs. Cincinnati on Sept. 14.

Another key component to the passing game is junior wide receiver Reggie Virgil. He has 22 receptions for 409 yards (18.6 average) and a team-high five touchdowns. In a 38-14 win at Eastern Michigan on Oct. 12, he caught three passes for 113 yards and two touchdowns. He caught four passes for 50 yards and one touchdown in the 46-7 win over Central Michigan on Oct. 26. See which team to pick here.

Why you should back Ball State

Redshirt freshman quarterback Kadin Semonza is having a solid season. He has completed 179 of 269 passes (66.5%) for 1,749 yards and 15 touchdowns with seven interceptions and a rating of 134.4. He has also rushed for one score. He is coming off a 20-for-33 (60.6%), 211-yard and two-touchdown performance in the win over Northern Illinois. He completed 21 of 29 passes (72.4%) for 190 yards and one touchdown in a 24-14 loss at Vanderbilt on Oct. 19.

Powering the running game is senior running back Braedon Sloan. He leads the team with 123 carries for 502 yards (4.1 average) and four touchdowns. In a 37-35 win at Kent State on Oct. 12, he carried 22 times for 76 yards (3.5 average) and two touchdowns. He had 19 rushes for 94 yards (4.9 average) and one touchdown in a 37-34 loss at Central Michigan. See which team to pick here.

How to make Miami vs. Ball State picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 47 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Miami vs. Ball State, and which side of the spread cashes in 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up well over $2,000 on its FBS college football picks since its inception, and find out.





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